Economic growth in Ukraine in Q2 may exceed 7% – Economy ministry

However, the ministry predicts, GDP dynamics will remain negative in Q1.

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The Ministry for Development of Economy, Trade and Agriculture predicts that Ukraine's gross domestic product (GDP) will grow by more than 7% in the second quarter (Q2) of 2021 after a decline in the first quarter (Q1) of this year.

This was reported in the Economic Activity Overview for 2020, posted on the ministry's official website.

Read alsoEconomy ministry forecasts 4.8% growth in Ukraine's GDP in 2021

Negative GDP dynamics are expected to continue in Q1 2021 over the COVID-19 lockdown introduced in Ukraine in January 2021, the overview said. However, growth is projected in Q2-Q4 2021. In particular, the ministry predicts that Ukraine's GDP will grow by more than 7% in Q2 alone.

As for 2020, the ministry estimated an industrial decline last year at 5.2%, while the transport sector saw a 14.2% decline. However, the construction sector reported a 4% increase and trade grew by 4.7%.

"As per key industrial commodities, the most negative impact was caused to investment-related types, in particular, a 21.6% decline was recorded in the production of capital goods," it said.

Previous developments

  • The Ministry for Development of Economy, Trade and Agriculture predicts a 4.6% increase in Ukraine's gross domestic product in 2021.
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