Ukraine's central bank forecasts economy will shrink by 6-7% in 2020

The NBU's deputy governor says the situation could be worse than expected.

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The National Bank of Ukraine has revised its forecast for the country's economy, projecting it will shrink by 6-7% in 2020 against the previously expected 5%.

"Based on the decline seen in the first quarter along with indicators of industrial production and transportation in April, I think the decline may be more serious than expected," the Ukrainian economic news portal Ekonomichna Pravda quoted NBU Deputy Governor Dmytro Solohub as saying.

Read alsoGDP slides 0.5% in Ukraine – central bank

"Accordingly, if we extrapolate the dynamics to the entire year, we could speak about a decline by 6-7% rather than 5%, as it was until now. But under these circumstances, it's not such a big difference – everything is moving approximately within the same scenario," he said.

As UNIAN reported earlier, the Central Bank previously predicted that Ukraine's GDP would decrease by 11% in the second quarter of 2020.

The NBU noted that the negative impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the Ukrainian economy will be relatively short-term, but rather strong. Quarantine-related measures have already reduced business activity, consumption and employment. Reducing global demand also limits the country's export opportunities.

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