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Outlook
IMF publishes outlook for Ukraine economy until year-end
By the end of 2021, inflation is projected at 7.2%.
18:45, 06.04.2021
Fitch affirms Naftogaz at 'B' with stable outlook
This reflects Naftogaz's strong links with the sovereign.
18:00, 30.03.2021
S&P releases outlook for hryvnia forex rate by late 2021
As for the current rate, the analyst expects no noticeable changes this week.
16:55, 22.03.2021
NBU updates inflation forecast
Prices will peak in the middle of this year, central bank believes.
21:45, 04.03.2021
Latest expert outlook for hryvnia rate by year-end
The main risks are currently associated with a reform slowdown and uncertainty about the IMF program.
22:30, 02.03.2021
World Bank expects Ukrainian economy to grow by 3% in 2021
A moderate recovery is expected in 2021, the outlook says.
10:15, 06.01.2021
Economy ministry downgrades grain harvest outlook
At the same time, grain exports remain at the Top 5 level over the last period.
16:30, 25.11.2020
Outlook for GDP fall by end of 2020 within target of below 5% - Finance minister
Despite seeing a difficult year, the Ukrainian economy did not suffer all potential losses it could have sustained.
21:45, 19.11.2020
EBRD revises downward outlook for GDP decline
Ukraine's economy may see a 3% growth as early as in 2021.
15:40, 01.10.2020
Inflation to rise in Ukraine – economy ministry
Now, the price dynamic is within the forecast threshold.
18:30, 30.09.2020
NBU Council chief elaborates on forex market prospects
The weakening of the hryvnia will have no significant impact on increasing inflationary pressure, the official believes.
09:50, 16.09.2020
S&P Global Ratings revises downward outlook for GDP decline
The economy is expected to start recovering by 4% in 2021.
15:15, 14.09.2020
Fitch affirms Ukrainian Railway at 'B,' off rating watch negative
The outlook is stable.
17:10, 12.09.2020
Fitch affirms Ukraine at 'B' with stable outlook
The agency expects Ukraine's international reserves may reach US$27.4 billion at the end of 2020 against US$29 billion in early September.
18:15, 05.09.2020
Public expectations about hryvnia rate worsen significantly – survey
The Consumer Confidence Index in July 2020 increased by 1.7 points to June.
15:40, 18.08.2020
Economy ministry worsens forecast for this year's GDP fall
At the same time, officials predict more restrained inflation at 5.8% and a stronger average annual hryvnia exchange rate of UAH 27.00 per dollar.
23:10, 10.08.2020
Ukrainian economy may drop 8% this year – Cabinet outlook
The negative impact of the pandemic on the Ukrainian economy is amplified by the onset of a global economic recession.
22:30, 15.06.2020
Moody's upgrades Ukraine's ratings to B3, outlook stable
The main driver of the decision is the result of the announced new financing program with the International Monetary Fund.
12:35, 15.06.2020
Ukraine's public debt may exceed 65% of GDP in 2020 – IMF forecast
Ukraine's total external debt may reach 93% of GDP this year.
15:40, 10.06.2020
IMF worsens economic outlook for Ukraine in 2020
According to the Fund, the Ukrainian GDP will start growing again in 2021.
13:20, 10.06.2020
Central bank expects moderate inflation rate in coming months
At the same time, all members of NBU's monetary committee spoke in favor of easing the regulator's monetary policy.
20:30, 04.05.2020
National bank tells of rough crisis scenario for Ukraine
At the same time, if Ukraine strikes a new deal with the IMF, the regulator expects no sharp drop in the country's economy.
23:50, 09.04.2020
Coronavirus crisis to drag Ukraine's economy down, World Bank says
GDP in 2020 could drop by 3.5%.
22:40, 09.04.2020
National Bank confident inflation not to exceed 10% this year
The regulator will revise its outlook for the Ukrainian economy for the current year.
09:57, 09.04.2020
Economy ministry estimates GDP decline, warns of consequences of epidemic
The drop in Ukraine's GDP in January-February slowed to 0.2%, while the novel coronavirus and measures to combat it will have serious consequences for the domestic economy, especially in 1H 2020.
20:40, 07.04.2020
Fitch affirms Naftogaz at 'B-' with positive outlook
Naftogaz's ratings are equalized with those of Ukraine (B/Positive).
15:09, 06.04.2020
Cabinet worsens outlook for inflation, wages, GDP for 2020
According to the updated forecast, the inflation rate will increase to 11.6% from 8.7%.
17:30, 03.04.2020
Experts raise forecast for Ukraine's grain yield, exports in MY 2020-2021
In particular, the forecast for maize harvest grew from 34.3 million tonnes to 36.8 million tonnes.
16:00, 03.04.2020
Ukraine's Cabinet revises downward economy outlook for 2020
Unemployment rate will make up 9.4% against the projected 8.1%.
14:40, 30.03.2020
Fitch revises outlook for Ukraine banks due to coronavirus
Fitch has revised banking sector outlooks to negative for seven of the eight markets it covers in the region.
22:40, 25.03.2020
Frosts could damage some winter grain areas in Ukraine – media
Night temperature fell to around 5 degrees Celsius below zero (23 degrees Fahrenheit) on Monday and Tuesday.
19:20, 25.03.2020
Experts give outlook for hryvnia rate
In terms of foreign trade balance, the situation is favorable for Ukraine, while uncertainty and panic are putting pressure on the market.
15:40, 19.03.2020
Finance ministry not to revise national budget until updated outlook released
The economy ministry will present an assessment of macroeconomic situation as early as next week.
22:45, 12.03.2020
Fitch expects Ukraine economy growth of 3.5% in 2020
At the same time, as with other emerging markets, downside risks to the growth outlook have increase due to uncertainty of the impact of Covid-19 on global growth and commodity prices.
15:15, 10.03.2020
Analyst warns hryvnia may further weaken by weekend
If panic on the market worsens, Ukrainians will see a dollar costing UAH 26.
11:55, 10.03.2020
Analyst assesses possible effect of global oil prices collapse on Ukrainian economy
The current situation on the market is beneficial for Ukraine's trade balance as the country imports oil and petroleum products. But following oil, other raw materials usually become cheaper as well.
11:30, 10.03.2020
Fitch affirms Ukraine at 'B', outlook positive
Fitch expects Ukraine will continue cooperation with the IMF under a new multi-year programme.
11:38, 07.03.2020
World Bank predicts Ukraine inflation slowdown
In 2021, inflation will slow to 5%, WB reports.
21:10, 19.11.2019
S&P upgrades Kyiv to 'B' on expected debt reduction
The outlook is stable.
16:58, 18.11.2019
EBRD improves outlook of Ukraine economic growth
Forecast for 2020 is improved to 3.5%.
21:45, 06.11.2019
Ukraine's central bank estimates losses over possible gas transit halt
Gas transit is expected to shrink from 90 bcm in 2019 to 50 bcm in 2020 and 30 bcm in 2021.
15:40, 01.11.2019
Ukraine's Economy Ministry forecasts 5.5% inflation in 2020
Minister Mylovanov projects the country's GDP growth within 3.5%-3.7%.
13:30, 22.10.2019
World Economy to see synchronized slowdown, IMF official says
Advanced economies continue to slow towards their lower long-term potential, the report says.
10:40, 16.10.2019
EBA predicts Ukraine's economy to show growth in 2020
EBA members also expect the hryvnia forex rate will be UAH 28 to the dollar in 2020.
15:40, 23.09.2019
Fitch upgrades Ukraine to 'B,' outlook positive
Expected macroeconomic policy continuity, the new government's strong stated commitment to structural reforms and engagement with IFIs mean that Fitch expects further improvements in creditworthiness.
17:44, 07.09.2019
As Europe struggles, Ukraine’s economy heads for an upswing – Bloomberg
The pace – 4.6% – was unexpectedly quick.
10:20, 15.08.2019
NBU revises GDP growth forecast upwards
Inflation outlook for 2019 remains unchanged at 6.3%.
16:55, 18.07.2019
Moody's worsens outlook for Ukraine's banking system
Further fast growth in consumer loans may hurt asset quality in the longer term.
15:20, 05.07.2019
Fitch affirms three Ukrainian foreign-owned banks, outlook stable
The banks are: PJSC Credit Agricole Bank (CAB), ProCredit Bank (Ukraine) (PCB), and PRAVEX-BANK JSC (PXB).
10:46, 28.05.2019
EBRD worsens Ukraine economy outlook
The bank predicts an acceleration of growth in 2020 with the intensification of the post-election reform program, combined with an easing of monetary policy.
21:15, 08.05.2019
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