Reuters: Oil drops as trade war concerns outweigh supply disruptions

09:00, 29 May 2019
Economy
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REUTERS

Front-month Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $69.60 a barrel at 0332 GMT, down 51 cents, or 0.7%, from the last session's close, Reuters said.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $58.50 per barrel, down 64 cents, or 1.1%, from their last settlement.

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"Crude oil was weak ... primarily as the bears on demand are winning compared to the bulls on supply," James Mick, managing director and energy portfolio manager with U.S. investment firm Tortoise, said in an investor podcast.

"Investors are concerned from a macro perspective about worldwide demand, particularly in the face of the growing trade dispute between the U.S. and China," he said.

Fawad Razaqzada, analyst at futures brokerage Forex.com, said another concern was that "falls in emerging market currencies (are) making dollar-priced crude oil dearer to purchase in those nations" and that crude prices could fall back.

Despite the economic concerns, global oil demand is so far holding up well, likely averaging over 100 million barrels per day (bpd) this year for the first time, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

But analysts are concerned that tightening credit amid the economic slowdown will hamper trading in commodities.

Despite these concerns dragging on oil markets, crude prices remain relatively tight.

"Supply risks remain at elevated levels with continued geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East, as well as Venezuela's well-known struggles," said Tortoise's Mick.

Adding to this are ongoing supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) since the start of the year to prop up the market.

OPEC and some allies including Russia are due to meet in late June or early July to discuss output policy going forward.

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