Expert: Georgia lost both Abkhazia and Ossetia as a result of conflict
But Russia lost at strategy, Ukraine`s ex-DefMin believes
Anatoliy Hrytsenko, chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Committee for National Security and Defense, does not rule out that Georgia has lost both Abkhazia and Ossetia as a result of the military conflict.
According to an UNIAN correspondent, he claimed this to a press conference in Kyiv on Tuesday.
“Georgia has lost… I do not see any real prerequisites for Tbilisi could even in future – in 10-15 years – regain a constitutional control over the South Ossetia and Abkhazia”, A.Hrytsenko said.
He expressed a belief that Ukraine will continue to support the territorial integrity of Georgia, though it will be a hard task for western countries that recognized the independence of Kosovo. He also noted that, in addition to numerous fatalities, Georgia also suffers economical losses of billions of dollars.
A.Hrytsenko surmised that in the nearest future large-scale maneuvers between Georgia and RF will cease and a process of talks will begin. At the same time, he is confident by 90% that Russia will not allow international peacemaking forces in the Caucasian region. Besides, Russian authorities will try to isolate Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili from the process of talks.
In the opinion of A.Hrytsenko, despite the military success, Russia lost in a strategic sphere, because it undermined its international authority with its aggression against Georgia.
According to him, after the military actions in the South Ossetia, the world became much more dangerous, and, evidently, the Kosovo precedent will appear in other regions.
In addition, in the opinion of A.Hrytsenko, the recent conflict obviously proved the inefficiency of international organizations in solving conflicts. In particular, UN could not make any decision on Georgia, because RF has a right to veto decisions of the Security Council. OSCE could carry out only diplomatic measures, CIS did not respond at all, and GUAM failed to express its stance.