Ukrainian Orthodox Church trying to withdraw from Moscow’s control: Kremlin not happy.

15:00, 01 November 2018
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Photo from UNIAN

On Oct 11, Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew I of Constantinople — the spiritual leader of 300 million Orthodox Christians worldwide  — started a process to grant independence to a Ukrainian Orthodox Church seated in Kyiv, freeing it from the control of the Russian Orthodox Church in Moscow. The decision has touched off an intense political storm, and threatens to open a new — and possibly violent — front in the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia.

The Washington Post explains why.

Unlike Catholicism, Orthodoxy does not have a centralized hierarchy with a pope-like authority figure. Rather, it’s composed of 14 autonomous churches, each of whose authority generally coincides with the national borders of countries with large Orthodox populations. Each independent church is headed by its own patriarch. However, the Ecumenical Patriarch of Constantinople holds the status of “first among equals.” Though the Ecumenical Patriarch holds only limited powers over the other churches, the Church of Constantinople holds the authority to grant independence to other Orthodox churches.

Today there are three separate umbrella organizations operating as Ukrainian Orthodox Churches, which split around Ukraine’s independence in 1991. The Ukrainian Orthodox Church — Kyiv Patriarchate (UOC-KP) declared independence from the Russian Orthodox Church in 1992, prompting the Moscow church to excommunicate its leaders. The second church, the Ukrainian Orthodox Church — Moscow Patriarchate (UOC-MP), remained under the Russian church’s jurisdiction. The third church, the Ukrainian Autocephalous Orthodox Church (UAOC), was founded in 1990; autocephalous is a religious term meaning independent, derived from ancient Greek for self-headed.

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Roughly 12,200 Ukrainian parishes remain loyal to the Moscow Patriarchate; roughly 4,500 are loyal to the Kyiv Patriarchate. The last one, the UAOC, gathers about 1,200 parishes under its authority.  Worshipers and clergy of each parish decide with which branch to align, though there are no formal rules internal to churches that govern the process of switching allegiances. A recent poll revealed that 28.7 percent of Ukrainians claimed allegiance to the Kyiv Patriarchate, while only 12.8 percent aligned with the Moscow Patriarchate and 0.3 percent with the UAOC. Another 23.4 percent of Ukrainians identified themselves as “simply Orthodox” without affiliation, while 37 percent declared the religious divide to be of no importance to them.

Many Ukrainians have long wanted an independent church, a demand that has intensified since Russia’s 2014 invasion of eastern Ukraine. Today many Ukrainian politicians, journalists and researchers accuse the Moscow church of using its Ukraine parishes to support the Kremlin’s “hybrid war” against Kyiv; Russian clergy have apparently assisted Russia's proxy forces. Since the war started, several Ukrainian parishes previously aligned with Moscow have switched allegiance to the Kyiv Patriarchate.

Read alsoMoscow vows to protect Orthodox believers in Ukraine

Today, the Russian Orthodox Church has very close ties to the Russian government — and neither has taken the news well. The Russian church immediately severed ties with Constantinople, effectively separating 100 million Russian Orthodox believers from the other 200 million Orthodox faithful worldwide. UOC-MP parishes make up about 35 percent of all Russian Orthodox parishes (including those in Russia), so it would be a major loss to Moscow if they all switch loyalty to Kyiv.

Meanwhile, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov issued a thinly veiled warning that echoed Moscow’s justification for occupying Crimea in 2014, saying that it would defend “the interests of Russians and Russian-speakers … [and] of Orthodox Christians.” Peskov further warned of possible Russian intervention “if the Ukrainian authorities are unable to keep the situation within legal bounds if it takes some ugly, violent turn.”

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Peskov’s statement is troubling, given Russia’s history of using trumped-up “rights violations” of Russian “compatriots” to justify military interventions in Georgia and Ukraine. The potential for conflict to turn violent is real as parishes decide whether to shift allegiance to the Kyiv Patriarchate. Valuable church property is at stake; some of Kyiv’s most iconic churches are aligned with the different patriarchates. Though Bartholomew called on all sides to “avoid appropriation of Churches, Monasteries and other properties, as well as every other act of violence and retaliation,” divided parishes could turn to violence to settle scores.

It’s not hard to imagine the Kremlin using religious tensions to further sow division, incite violence, and spread misinformation in Ukraine. This would be consistent with the Russian playbook in Ukraine, the Baltics, NATO allies, and the United States. Putin’s objective in Ukraine has long been destabilizing Ukraine’s government. This might give it a new, golden-domed opportunity to foment disruption before Ukraine’s 2019 parliamentary and presidential elections. Inciting Ukrainians to hate one another and mistrust their leaders would be a political victory for Moscow. Which means that how Kyiv manages the transition will matter long beyond the 2019 elections.

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