Infectious disease expert expects "tough scenario" for coronavirus in Ukraine
Head of the Infectious Diseases Department at Bogomolets National Medical University, Professor Olha Golubovskaya has said the coronavirus epidemic in Ukraine will develop according to a "tough scenario:" 80% of the population will be infected; of them, every fifth will need hospitalization.
"A total of 80% of people will be infected. Of these, 80% will be not seriously ill, while 20% will have moderate and very severe forms of the disease requiring hospitalization. Of all those sick, 20% will need hospitalization, and 5% will require intensive care, they will be critically ill. This is a base-case scenario, let's say so," she said in an interview to the Ukrainian online news outlet Obozrevatel.
At the same time, the expert does not rule out a worse-case scenario when the number of patients requiring hospitalization is not 20%, but 25%.
"If we assume that 30 million people will get sick, let's count, 20% of them, i.e. 6 million, will need hospitalization and 1.5 - 2 million Ukrainians will require intensive care. This is such a tougher scenario. I honestly think it will be a little bit easier for us. We'll see," Golubovskaya added.