Escalation in Donbas: Expert assesses likelihood of large-scale attack by militants

12:00, 29 May 2018
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Ukrainian MP and leader of the Information Resistance OSINT community Dmytro Tymchuk says that, despite the recent escalation in Donbas, there is no significant transfer to the area of regular troops from Russia, so the militants are unlikely to have any chances for any large-scale operations.

As Tymchuk told Apostrophe, escalation is observed in various sectors of the front line.

"We see intensified activity on the part of militants, taking into account what is happening near Horlivka, but the escalation is not only there. We are also seeing an escalation west of Donetsk, near Dokuchaievsk, etc.," Tymchuk said.

At the same time, under current conditions, the militants have almost no chance of carrying out a successful offensive on the positions of Ukrainian troops, MP said.

"It is difficult to say how much the degree of tension will grow. We should understand if we take the current configuration of the occupation forces and those formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine that are involved in the joint Forces Operation, the militants have no chances for any large-scale offensive operation at the operational-tactical level," he said.

Read alsoDonbas update: Ukraine reports 6 WIAs amid 37 enemy attacksAccording to Tymchuk, the militants earlier carried out large-scale operations only with the participation of regular units of the Russian armed forces, therefore they cannot advance on their own.

"But amid escalation, which is now being observed, we do not yet see any large-scale transfer of troops from Russia to the occupied territory of Donbas. The situation may change at any time, but we do not see that at the moment," Tymchuk said.

Ukrainian volunteer activist Yuriy Mysyagin reported earlier, the K-2 combat group, which is part of the 54th brigade, had destroyed military equipment of terrorists at the Svitlodarska Duha bulge.

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